34 members · drivers first · 5Y · residual 420.8bp exceeds 60bp gate
The XLP rose 20.86% (+14.40 pts) over five years, but 15 of 34 members went the other way. WMT and COST carried the tape higher, contributing more than the entire move.
SYSCO CORP and KEURIG DR PEPPER INC moved almost identically (+9.81% vs +8.45%), yet SYY moved the XLP 47.9× as much. In a cap-weighted index, the bigger company's weight turns the same percentage move into far more points.
Attribution map
slicing the +14.40 pt move · cell size = points contributed · color = direction, intensity = return
WMT+5.9 pts(+158.8%)
COST+5.8 pts(+122.4%)
PM+3.1 pts(+161.6%)
KO+3.1 pts(+91.1%)
MO+2.3 pts(+126.4%)
EL−2.1 pts(−66.0%)
STZ−1.1 pts
CL+1.0 pts
KR+1.0 pts(+74.2%)
CASY+0.9 pts(+254.3%)
KVUE−0.8 pts
GIS
PEP−0.7 pts(−2.9%)
MKC−0.6 pts(−36.8%)
TGT−0.6 pts
ADM+0.5 pts
KHC
BF-B−0.5 pts
SYY−0.5 pts
HRL
MNST−0.4 pts
MDLZ
DG
TSN
PG
Concentration curve
cumulative share of the +14.40 pt move · sorted by contribution
When they drove it
cumulative points through the period
Breadth
member returns, this period
−100%0%+100%+200%
From −66.03% (EL) to +254.33% (CASY). Equal-weight, the XLP would be +22.47% vs the actual +20.86%; the gap is what cap weighting did.
By sector
point contribution · sums to +14.40 pts
-34
+15.1
The year, session by session
every trading day of 2026 · hover for the move
JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCT
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Consumer Staples · Select Sector
What moved the market
5Y · OCT 9, 2026
+20.86%
+14.4 pts · closed 83.42
19 of 34 rose · 15 fell
WMT+158.8%
+5.9
COST+122.4%
+5.8
PM+161.6%
+3.1
KO+91.1%
+3.1
MO+126.4%
+2.3
PEP−2.9%
−0.7
GIS−36.4%
−0.7
KVUE−25.9%
−0.8
STZ−37.4%
−1.1
EL−66.0%
−2.1
WMT carried a split tape · 15 of 34 went the other wayWMTMT.COM
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