34 members · drivers first · 5Y · residual 258.2bp exceeds 60bp gate
The XLP rose 18.56% (+13.54 pts) over five years, but 15 of 34 members went the other way. COST and WMT carried the tape higher, contributing more than the entire move.
COLGATE PALMOLIVE CO and CHURCH + DWIGHT CO INC moved almost identically (+27.76% vs +25.30%), yet CL moved the XLP 10.6× as much. In a cap-weighted index, the bigger company's weight turns the same percentage move into far more points.
Attribution map
slicing the +13.54 pt move · cell size = points contributed · color = direction, intensity = return
COST+6.2 pts(+123.5%)
WMT+4.7 pts(+122.8%)
KO+3.2 pts(+85.5%)
PM+2.9 pts(+139.3%)
EL−2.0 pts
MO+2.0 pts(+106.9%)
CASY+1.4 pts(+323.1%)
KVUE−1.2 pts
STZ−0.9 pts(−31.0%)
TGT−0.9 pts(−25.5%)
CL+0.8 pts
PG−0.8 pts
ADM+0.7 pts(+47.5%)
KR+0.6 pts
BF-B−0.5 pts
MKC−0.5 pts
HRL
GIS−0.5 pts
MNST+0.5 pts
HSY
PEP−0.3 pts
TSN−0.3 pts
KHC
CLX
Concentration curve
cumulative share of the +13.54 pt move · sorted by contribution
When they drove it
cumulative points through the period
Breadth
member returns, this period
−100%0%+100%+200%+300%
From −64.96% (EL) to +323.13% (CASY). Equal-weight, the XLP would be +24.26% vs the actual +18.56%; the gap is what cap weighting did.
By sector
point contribution · sums to +13.54 pts
-34
+14.1
The year, session by session
every trading day of 2026 · hover for the move
JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUG
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Consumer Staples · Select Sector
What moved the market
5Y · AUG 25, 2026
+18.56%
+13.5 pts · closed 86.51
19 of 34 rose · 15 fell
COST+123.5%
+6.2
WMT+122.8%
+4.7
KO+85.5%
+3.2
PM+139.3%
+2.9
MO+106.9%
+2.0
PG+13.3%
−0.8
TGT−25.5%
−0.9
STZ−31.0%
−0.9
KVUE−18.7%
−1.2
EL−65.0%
−2.0
COST carried a split tape · 15 of 34 went the other wayWMTMT.COM
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