WMTMT◆
WHAT MOVED THE MARKET TODAY

Industrials · Select Sector

83 stocks · cap-weighted, ETF-derived weights · Oct 9, 2026 close
169.25
+70.07 (+70.65%)
XLI 169.25 · +70.1 pts (+70.65%) 5Y
232.81193.06153.31113.5773.82EW +106.12%H 186.51 · Aug 14L 83.58 · Sep 27
Oct 1, 2021Jan 4, 2023Apr 9, 2024Jul 9, 2025Oct 9, 2026
Breadth
68 / 83
stocks rose with the index
Concentration
35%
of the gain from CAT, GE, GEV
Biggest driver
CAT +9.23
CATERPILLAR INC, +348.08%
Biggest drag
BA −3.32
BOEING CO/THE, −15.77%

What drove it

83 members · drivers first · 5Y · residual 1736.6bp exceeds 60bp gate

The XLI rose 70.65% (+70.07 pts) over five years in a broad advance: 68 of 83 stocks rose, with CAT out front at +9.23 points.

Read the latest market-close note: Goldman and Microsoft Push the Dow to a Large Gain While Telecoms Sink Communication Services

+81.9 pts from 65 gainers−10.0 pts from 18 losers
net +70.1 pts · gainers outweigh losers 8.2 to 1
Stock
Points
Return
XLIsum of all 83 stocks
+70.1
100%
+70.65%
CATCATERPILLAR INC
+9.2
13%
+348.08%
GEGENERAL ELECTRIC
+8.4
12%
+377.97%
GEVGE VERNOVA INC
+6.8
10%
+668.56%
ETNEATON CORP PLC
+4.7
7%
+207.38%
RTXRTX CORP
+3.9
6%
+135.86%
PHPARKER HANNIFIN CORP
+3.0
4%
+250.73%
VRTVERTIV HOLDINGS CO A
+2.8
4%
+893.78%
PWRQUANTA SERVICES INC
+2.7
4%
+509.61%
TTTRANE TECHNOLOGIES PLC
+2.3
3%
+189.69%
DEDEERE + CO
+2.3
3%
+93.19%
HWMHOWMET AEROSPACE INC
+2.2
3%
+604.22%
URIUNITED RENTALS INC
+2.1
3%
+205.99%
FIXCOMFORT SYSTEMS USA INC
+1.8
3%
+2,263.79%
CMICUMMINS INC
+1.7
2%
+156.50%
JCIJOHNSON CONTROLS INTERNATION
+1.7
2%
+151.20%
53 othersclick to expand the full index
+26.2
37%
·
TXTTEXTRON INC
−0.1
0%
+5.28%
UNPUNION PACIFIC CORP
−0.1
0%
+53.57%
CPRTCOPART INC
−0.1
0%
−21.90%
FDXFFEDEX FREIGHT HOLDING CO
−0.1
0%
−23.52%
FERGFERGUSON ENTERPRISES INC
−0.2
0%
−7.77%
XYLXYLEM INC
−0.2
0%
−10.25%
OTISOTIS WORLDWIDE CORP
−0.2
0%
−13.61%
SWKSTANLEY BLACK + DECKER INC
−0.4
−1%
−39.66%
GNRCGENERAC HOLDINGS INC
−0.4
−1%
−44.42%
HONHONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL INC
−0.5
−1%
+7.64%
EFXEQUIFAX INC
−0.5
−1%
−41.00%
LUVSOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO
−0.6
−1%
−16.93%
HONAHONEYWELL AEROSPACE INC
−0.6
−1%
−28.27%
UPSUNITED PARCEL SERVICE CL B
−2.3
−3%
−35.36%
BABOEING CO/THE
−3.3
−5%
−15.77%
Cap weighting, illustrated

AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING and HUNTINGTON INGALLS INDUSTRIE moved almost identically (+48.95% vs +51.18%), yet ADP moved the XLI 26.8× as much. In a cap-weighted index, the bigger company's weight turns the same percentage move into far more points.

Attribution map

slicing the +70.07 pt move · cell size = points contributed · color = direction, intensity = return
CAT+9.2 pts(+348.1%)
GE+8.4 pts(+378.0%)
GEV+6.8 pts(+668.6%)
ETN+4.7 pts(+207.4%)
RTX+3.9 pts(+135.9%)
BA−3.3 pts(−15.8%)
PH+3.0 pts(+250.7%)
VRT+2.8 pts
PWR+2.7 pts
TT
DE
UPS−2.3 pts(−35.4%)
HWM+2.2 pts(+604.2%)
URI+2.1 pts(+206.0%)
FIX+1.8 pts(+2,263.8%)
CMI+1.7 pts(+156.5%)
JCI+1.7 pts
LMT+1.6 pts
ADP
FDX+1.5 pts
EMR+1.4 pts
GWW+1.4 pts
TDG+1.3 pts
PCAR
FAST
CTAS
EME
UBER
GD+0.9 pts
WM+0.8 pts
CSX
HONA
LUV
EFX
HON
BE
IR

Concentration curve

cumulative share of the +70.07 pt move · sorted by contribution
0%50%100%21426283stocks:3 stocks = 35%100% covered at 27

When they drove it

cumulative points through the period
0CAT +9.23GE +8.36GEV +6.79BA −3.32UPS −2.31HONA −0.64Oct 1Oct 9

Breadth

member returns, this period
−100%+100%+300%+500%+700%+900%+1,100%+1,300%+1,500%+1,700%+1,900%+2,100%
From −44.42% (GNRC) to +2,263.79% (FIX). Equal-weight, the XLI would be +106.12% vs the actual +70.65%; the gap is what cap weighting did.

By sector

point contribution · sums to +70.07 pts
-83
+72.0

The year, session by session

every trading day of 2026 · hover for the move
JANFEBMARAPRMAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCT

Share this move

pick a view, download it as a 16:9 PNG
What moved the market, in your inbox
The daily note publishes here after every close; the week's story lands in your inbox on Fridays, free. Read the daily notes.
Babylon Burns

WMTMT is built by the founders of Babylon Burns, a letter on markets, macro, and the systems behind them. The numbers live here; the arguments live there. Subscribing below joins the Babylon Burns letter.

SESSIONSETTLEDBOARDXLI 5YMEMBERS83RESIDUAL1736.6BP / 60BP GATESRCNASDAQ · CBOE · ALPHA VANTAGEWMTMT.COM