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October 2, 2026 · market close

Caterpillar's Surge Lifts the Dow While Storage Stocks Sink Beneath a Rising Nasdaq 100

A handful of names drove each index in different directions, with Caterpillar carrying the Dow and double-digit losses in storage stocks failing to stop the Nasdaq 100's climb.

The S&P 500 closed at 7,722.72, up 56.27 points, a move of 0.73% on the day. Breadth was positive, with 293 of the index's 499 members higher. Concentration sat at 38%, a mixed session where gains were spread rather than carried by a single name.

The S&P 500 through the session

NVIDIA led the index with 8.89 points on a 1.34% gain, followed by Broadcom's 6.38 points on a 3.35% move. Apple added 5.86 points, Tesla contributed 5.34 points on a 4.65% jump, and Microsoft rounded out the top five with 4.19 points. On the other side, storage names were hit hard: Seagate lost 2.94 points on a 10.21% decline and Western Digital lost 2.29 points on a 10.22% decline. Micron, Sandisk, and Accenture also weighed, with Accenture down 6.27% on the day.

S&P 500 attribution map, cell size = points contributed

The Dow

The Dow closed at 51,177.00, up 250.44 points, a move of 0.49%. Breadth was positive but narrower than the S&P's, with 18 of 30 members higher, and concentration ran hot at 75%, a sign that a small number of stocks did most of the work.

The Dow through the session

Caterpillar did the heaviest lifting, adding 113.34 points on a 2.31% gain, more than four times the next-largest contributor. UnitedHealth added 39.64 points, Goldman Sachs 36.08 points, Alphabet 31.26 points, and Microsoft 28.11 points. That concentration in Caterpillar is the clearest divergence from the S&P story, where no single name came close to dominating the tape. On the downside, Amgen lost 25.14 points, IBM lost 17.77 points, Johnson & Johnson lost 15.22 points, and Salesforce and Travelers also dragged.

Dow attribution map, cell size = points contributed

The Nasdaq 100

The Nasdaq 100 closed at 30,807.93, up 306.37 points, a move of 1.00%, the largest percentage gain of the three indexes today. Breadth was mixed, with 59 of 101 members higher, and concentration at 43%.

The Nasdaq 100 through the session

Space Exploration Technologies led by a wide margin, adding 67.30 points on a 7.35% gain. NVIDIA followed with 33.91 points, and the two Alphabet share classes together added 59.47 points, with GOOG contributing 30.18 points and GOOGL contributing 29.29 points. Tesla added 29.63 points on the same 4.65% move that lifted it elsewhere. The index's drag came from the same storage names that weighed on the S&P: Micron down 2.05%, Seagate down 10.21%, Western Digital down 10.22%, Sandisk down 3.79%, and Applovin down 4.65%. Those losses were steep on a percentage basis but not enough to offset the index's winners, which is the main divergence from the Dow, where the losing side was spread across names like Amgen and IBM rather than concentrated in a single theme.

Nasdaq 100 attribution map, cell size = points contributed

The sectors

Ten of eleven sectors finished higher. Consumer Discretionary led at 1.13%, followed by Technology at 1.03% and Industrials at 0.78%. Financials barely moved at 0.03%, and Health Care was the lone decliner, off 0.03%.

The 11 sectors by move, top contributor named

Consumer Discretionary's gain was built on Tesla, which contributed 0.91 of the sector's 1.23 points on its 4.65% move, the single largest driver of any sector today.

Consumer Discretionary: what moved it

Health Care's small slip traced back to Johnson & Johnson, which subtracted 0.21 points on a 0.99% decline, enough to tip the sector negative even as most of the market advanced.

Health Care: what moved it

Against the past year, today's moves sit in the middle of the range rather than the extremes. The S&P's 0.73% gain ranks at the 82nd percentile, the Dow's 0.49% gain at the 72nd percentile, and the Nasdaq 100's 1.00% gain at the 79th percentile. None of the three crossed the 85th percentile threshold that would mark the session as an outsized one.

The numbers

From Babylon Burns

WMTMT is brought to you by the founders of Babylon Burns. If you want to stay ahead of the markets, read their recent piece on market's mind on losses: Explosive setup: When the market changes its mind about a loss-making business.

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Compiled by the WMTMT attribution engine from the session's official data · built by the founders of Babylon Burns